Dallas Mavericks' Win Projections Rise After Busy Offseason

The Dallas Mavericks are looking to improve on last season's 26-56 record, with the team's win projections increasing after a busy offseason. The team has remodeled the front office, adding new players such as Santi Aldama and Zaccharie Risacher, who join a crowded front court situation for head coach Dusty May to manage.

Last result: Dallas Mavericks 149-128 Chicago Bulls (2026-04-13).

The Mavericks' offseason business has largely been met with a good approval rating from fans, despite new president Masai Ujiri's actions being criticized in the court of public opinion. Ujiri, a seasoned NBA executive, has brought an experienced scout to take over as general manager, and Mike Schmitz has fed Ujiri's signature roster construction plan, which features athletic forwards who are versatile on both ends of the court.

What Comes Next?

As the Mavs' schedule is released later this week, early betting markets are projecting an increase in wins for Dallas this season. The team's recent form has been 1W-0D-4L (WLLLL, most recent first), with the team looking to build on their last win against the Chicago Bulls.

Why It Matters for Dallas Mavericks

The Mavericks' offseason is graded at a B-, with the team adding several new players, including Santi Aldama and Zaccharie Risacher. The team's front office has been remodeled, with new president Masai Ujiri bringing in an experienced scout to take over as general manager. The team's roster construction plan features athletic forwards who are versatile on both ends of the court.

What to Expect from Dusty May

Head coach Dusty May will be tasked with determining how the team's new pieces fit together, with returners Max Christie, P.J. Washington, and Daniel Gafford retaining their roles. Kyrie Irving and Dereck Lively II are returning from injury, and newcomers Santi Aldama, Zaccharie Risacher, and Marcus Sasser will see where they belong in the team's lineup. The team's clear void in the lineup is guard play behind Irving, where May could give rookie Spaniard Sergio De Larrea a big opportunity to contribute after a fine summer league showing.

ESPN references DraftKings' over/under line of 34.5 wins in 2026-27, with the publication picking under 34.5 (-115) as the best bet. "The Mavericks lack reliable shot creation outside of Irving, whose age and ACL recovery create plenty of uncertainty," said analyst Eric Moody. "Flagg should improve, but the reigning Rookie of the Year still has a thin supporting cast, while first-year head coach Dusty May faces a steep learning curve. Dallas should improve on last season's 26 wins, but reaching 36 looks unlikely."

The Mavericks' offseason is a step in the right direction, with the team looking to improve on last season's record. The team's win projections are increasing, and the team's roster construction plan features athletic forwards who are versatile on both ends of the court. With head coach Dusty May at the helm, the team is looking to build on their last win and make a push for the playoffs.